Brain drain, however, comes in many shapes and sizes
and exists in many parts of the world. The effects are just as complex,
in both pernicious and beneficial ways, in regions that one does
not usually think of in the context of brain drain. In Russia's
North Caucasus region brain drain has had a devastating effect on
the development of educational, cultural and political life as well
as local economies. Tragically, the region had experienced the loss
of educated elites once already during the 20th century, when they
were "purged" by Stalin or driven into exile. The recent
brain drain is different, but no less deplorable.
The North Caucasus, a mountainous and largely rural
area located between the Black and Caspian Seas in the south of
Russia, exhibits many of the dysfunctions of an old empire's periphery.
It is inhabited by small indigenous nations and a declining number
of Russia's majority population. Endemic instability and corruption
make it is less attractive for business investments, so it suffers
from disproportionally high unemployment rates and low income levels,
problems that are exacerbated by high birthrates. The quality of
education at all levels lags behind the Russian average. Overall,
the impact of the post-Soviet transition has been more disruptive,
and reform processes more half-hearted, than in the rest of Russia.
And of course, the region's prospects have long been overshadowed
by the two wars in Chechnya and their disastrous consequences.
A first wave of massive and rapid brain drain hit
the North Caucasus right after the end of the Soviet Union. Educated
and professional elites who were not indigenous to the region, primarily
ethnic Russians, but also Ukrainians, Armenians and others, left
in anticipation of, or as a reaction to, incidents of hostility
and threats against them. Armed conflict, first in North Ossetia
in 1992 and then in Chechnya in 1994, drove out many more who had
tried to hold on to their lives in communities that had been home,
sometimes for generations. Neither local nor Russian federal authorities
were willing or indeed able to protect these citizens to allow them
to stay. Out of Chechnya's Soviet-era population of around one million,
some 250,000 non-locals, mostly teachers, doctors, civil servants
and engineers and their families, left within just a few short years.
Although less dramatic, a similar outmigration took place in many
of the other republics of the North Caucasus.
In addition to the many non-locals who were leaving,
many of the most talented, skilled and influential locals moved
away in the course of the past 15 years, severely diminishing any
prospects of successful stabilization of Chechnya and the neighboring
republics for decades to come. Most of these professionals ended
up in Moscow, the historic cultural center of the country and the
hub of its economic and social activity. Since the 1990s, tens of
thousands of Chechens left for Europe in the hope of obtaining asylum
there, and, as always with migration flows, the better educated
and more resourceful ones left first and in greater numbers.
Once the majority of professionals had left the
North Caucasus, the region's perspectives for peace, innovation
and growth floundered. Shortages of qualified experts and managers
in education, health care and other areas of public services led
to a drop in education and living standards. These systemic problems
were exacerbated by poverty and - ultimately and tragically - armed
conflict in Chechnya and emerging political violence in the surrounding
republics. The departure of the elites added to the bitterness and
pessimism felt by the public, which discourages potential new leaders
from taking charge. Brain drain has stymied the development and
implementation of policies addressing the many interconnected problems
of the region. The absence of capable experts has clearly fueled
the frustration felt by the region's inhabitants and thus contributed
to the escalation of armed violence. The dearth of respected leadership
has led, among others, to the fragmentation and weakening of civil
society.
There are, however, some positive effects of brain
drain for the region. Most of the qualified migrants left for good,
and they are unlikely to come back any time soon to share their
expertise with their communities. But they do send back remittances
and gradually introduce their communities to new ideas from "outside
the box". In theory, the vacancies and "blank slate"
created by brain drain should open up the field to new talent and
could replace Soviet-era policies and their proponents with more
modern ones. Unfortunately, there is no conclusive evidence that
this is happening, or that it is having the desired effect, anyway.
Reversing the brain drain will prove challenging:
the older generation among the migrants fears the insecurity in
the region, their children enjoy the excitement of booming Moscow
or is already well-integrated in their country of refuge to consider
returning to the North Caucasus. However, there is a pool of migrants
who are willing to return. They may want to do so because they never
adapted fully to their new surroundings or failed to rebuild their
former careers and lifestyle, or because they still have family
back home, or because they cannot envision a future for their children
in their new place of residence. Others may have been successful
in exile, but feel a strong pull to share their newly-acquired knowledge
with people in their homeland.
Yet even those eager to return often find they are
unable to do so. The region is still plagued by armed violence,
the economic situation is less than promising and local politics
are deeply unappealing. Like all migrants, potential returnees are
concerned that they may no longer fit in back home and that home
is indeed no longer what it used to be. They cannot be certain that
they will find interesting and rewarding work and might be afraid
that those who stayed behind will be jealous or even hostile towards
returnees. Since such a large number of professionals left, many
prospective returnees have no professional networks in the North
Caucasus anymore.
Therefore, the key to reversing brain drain must
be ensuring the safety, comfort and professional integration of
returnees. Such assistance can be provided by employers, professional
networks, communities and ultimately the government. Elsewhere,
similar programs have been introduced by international organizations,
like the World Bank and UNDP. In Russia, with its booming economy
and large fiscal reserves, the government should take the lead,
but civil society and professional organizations should have a role
as well. The main challenge will lie in the program's equitable,
transparent and flexible execution, an expectation that will be
rejected as naпve by those familiar with the political realities
of the region.
Ultimately, however, we need to look beyond "reversing
the brain drain" and think up ways to attract new generations
of skilled professionals from all over Russia. Those who left did
so as long as 15 years ago, so many of them are by now middle-aged,
if not retired, or too well-established elsewhere to start over
yet again. To complement returnee programs, there should be recruitment
initiatives aimed at young professionals and recent graduates. A
model for such a program could be a variation of "Teach for
America", which recruits bright young graduates to teach in
underperforming US schools. Such a program would have the wonderful
side effect of bringing young Russian citizens into contact with
their compatriots in the North Caucasus, whom they have come to
view as "terrorists" and "bandits" after years
of biased media coverage and statements by politicians.
Although both programs for returnees and newcomers
present logistical, financial and political challenges, there is
no doubt that they are well worth the effort. The North Caucasus
cannot recover and thrive without a substantial corps of educated
and motivated individuals and will continue to fall behind. After
years of increasing ethnic homogenization and isolation, communities
across the region are ready to welcome and celebrate diversity and
innovation.